Cesena vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
CES
0 - 2
ACM
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CES
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
CES
2 - 3
USF
56%
27%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
FCC
4 - 2
CES
46%
29%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
VER
1 - 0
BRE
81%
13%
7%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
VER
2 - 1
USF
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
GEN
1 - 0
VER
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
VER
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
VER
0 - 0
ACM
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |