Cesena vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CES
8%
20%
72%
|
64 | 23 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
CES
3 - 2
SAN
82%
14%
5%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CES
4 - 1
ASD
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
10%
21%
69%
|
65 | 23 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
CAM
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 22 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GIU
1 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
GIU
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GIU
0 - 4
PIN
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
GIU
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
GIU
49%
26%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |