Cesena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
27.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
INT
2 - 0
CES
83%
13%
5%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CES
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
CES
3 - 1
LEC
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
CES
1 - 1
ROM
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
GEN
3 - 1
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
42%
31%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
26%
30%
45%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
TOR
5 - 2
GEN
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
GEN
3 - 2
FIO
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |