Cesena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
ACM
1 - 1
CES
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
CES
2 - 2
RIM
70%
21%
10%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
CAT
1 - 0
CES
34%
33%
33%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CES
2 - 0
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
GEN
0 - 0
VER
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 1
GEN
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
GEN
0 - 0
LAZ
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SPA
2 - 2
GEN
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
GEN
2 - 1
VAR
67%
21%
11%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |