Cesena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
43%
31%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
PIS
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
CES
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
65%
23%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
COM
2 - 0
GEN
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |