Cesena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
26.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 3
CES
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
CES
1 - 2
PAL
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
TOR
3 - 1
CES
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
PAL
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RIM
2 - 2
GEN
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
76%
15%
10%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 3
GEN
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |