Cesena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
CES
0 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
COM
1 - 1
CES
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
CES
0 - 1
FCC
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
CES
2 - 2
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 2
LEC
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
LAZ
4 - 1
GEN
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |