Cesena vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
BOL
0 - 0
CES
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CES
1 - 3
NAP
36%
34%
30%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
INT
3 - 2
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
UDI
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
GEN
0 - 0
CES
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ROM
2 - 0
FIO
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
FIO
1 - 0
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
FCC
0 - 2
FIO
41%
30%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |