Cesena vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
VER
1 - 0
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
VIC
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
CES
1 - 1
COM
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1994 |
PES
2 - 0
CES
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 1
PAL
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 3
UDI
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
VNZ
1 - 1
FIA
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
FIA
3 - 1
ASL
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1994 |
ACI
0 - 0
FIA
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |