Cesena vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RIM
1 - 1
CES
14%
24%
62%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CES
1 - 3
SSS
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
CES
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CES
1 - 0
IMO
72%
17%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 0
ASG
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
FCS
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 1
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
4 - 3
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 2
FCS
20%
29%
51%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |