Cesena vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
CES
3 - 1
SSS
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
JUV
0 - 0
CES
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
CES
2 - 0
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
CES
0 - 2
ACM
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 2
VIC
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
NAP
2 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |