Cesena vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
CES
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
CES
1 - 1
PIA
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASG
0 - 2
CES
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 1
FER
32%
29%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
FAN
75%
18%
8%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 4
PIA
12%
21%
67%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MOD
2 - 1
FAN
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 2
UAR
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |