Cesena vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 3
CES
25%
29%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
CES
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CES
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 2
SPE
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 2
EMP
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
EMP
3 - 2
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 2
EMP
55%
23%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 1
LEO
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |