Cesena vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAL
6 - 1
CES
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CES
3 - 4
TRE
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CES
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
FCC
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 0
CES
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EMP
2 - 1
MOD
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2004 |
PES
1 - 0
EMP
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
3 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 2
EMP
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |