Cesena vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 2
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 0
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
PAD
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
PAL
0 - 0
CES
44%
31%
25%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
EMP
4 - 2
VIC
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 1
EMP
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 0
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
EMP
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 0
USC
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |