Cesena vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 1
CES
33%
31%
36%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
62%
25%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
CES
1 - 2
VER
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
INT
3 - 1
EMP
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
EMP
0 - 1
AVE
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SPE
2 - 0
EMP
67%
17%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +11 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
EMP
2 - 1
REG
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
UNI
3 - 1
EMP
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |