Cesena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
17.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
BRI
69%
21%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
51%
30%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
USF
0 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
FCC
53%
28%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
59%
26%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
COM
1 - 1
ARZ
62%
25%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 0
COM
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
60%
26%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
COM
0 - 0
REG
67%
22%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |