Cesena vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
CES
0 - 1
TOR
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CES
1 - 1
FIA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
VER
1 - 0
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CES
2 - 0
REG
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
CHI
2 - 0
USC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
VER
0 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 4
ASL
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
REG
1 - 0
CHI
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CHI
0 - 2
NAP
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |