Cesena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
CES
3 - 0
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 1
CES
45%
32%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CES
0 - 0
TRI
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
46%
30%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAT
59%
27%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
40%
33%
28%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAT
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
CAT
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |