Cesena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
CES
2 - 0
BAR
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 0
CES
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CES
1 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
CES
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 0
VER
56%
28%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
VAR
56%
27%
17%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
3 - 3
CAT
57%
27%
16%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
SPA
40%
32%
28%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |