Cesena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
26.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
GEN
1 - 0
CES
53%
30%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
CES
0 - 2
BOL
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
VIC
2 - 0
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 1
ARZ
50%
30%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |