Cesena vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CES
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 0
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAD
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 1
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 2
RAV
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
PAL
3 - 0
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |