Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 2
CES
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
REG
1 - 2
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
CES
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 1
LEO
71%
20%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |