Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CES
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 0
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2002 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CES
2 - 1
ACL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 3
PIS
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 1
ALZ
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 3
ABN
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PAD
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |