Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
COS
1 - 0
CES
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
CES
1 - 1
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
CES
1 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CES
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
PAD
1 - 1
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
BRE
3 - 1
PAD
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
PAD
1 - 1
REG
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
PAD
0 - 2
TOR
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAD
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |