Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
BAR
0 - 1
CES
58%
26%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
CES
0 - 2
RAV
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
CES
0 - 0
ANC
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
VIC
3 - 1
CES
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASL
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
COS
1 - 1
PAD
41%
31%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
PAD
0 - 0
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
38%
31%
31%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |