Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
34%
31%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
CES
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
CES
1 - 0
COS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
PIS
2 - 1
CES
56%
26%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
PAD
2 - 1
PAL
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
LEC
4 - 1
PAD
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
PAD
1 - 1
PIS
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
PAD
3 - 0
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |