Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-1
Cesena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ANC
4 - 1
CES
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
CES
2 - 0
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
CES
2 - 2
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
CAG
1 - 1
CES
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
FIA
1 - 2
CES
41%
30%
30%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
USC
3 - 1
CAG
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAG
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
CAG
1 - 2
NAP
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
CAG
1 - 1
CES
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAG
29%
30%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |