Cesena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
AVE
0 - 1
CES
39%
31%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
CES
3 - 0
TAR
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
BRE
3 - 0
PIS
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
PIA
1 - 1
BRE
43%
30%
27%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
BRE
2 - 0
ANC
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
BRE
35%
33%
32%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVE
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |