Cesena vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
SAM
2 - 2
CES
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
BAR
58%
27%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
AVE
1 - 2
CES
40%
31%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 2
CAG
47%
29%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
AVE
2 - 1
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
BRE
2 - 0
RIM
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PIS
3 - 2
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRE
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |