Cesena vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
CES
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
ABN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
BRE
4 - 1
REG
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 0
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 1
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |