Cesena vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 1
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CAT
2 - 0
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ABN
1 - 1
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
RAV
0 - 1
BOL
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 2
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 1
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
BOL
47%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |