Cesena vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
CES
3 - 0
CAG
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
JUV
3 - 0
CES
83%
12%
4%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
ACM
2 - 0
CES
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
CES
0 - 1
SAM
21%
29%
51%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 3
NAP
37%
30%
33%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
TOR
4 - 1
BOL
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
BOL
0 - 3
SAM
28%
29%
42%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
NAP
0 - 1
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |