Cesena vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CES
2 - 2
TER
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CES
1 - 2
GAL
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 0
CES
52%
23%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
CES
37%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
INT
4 - 3
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
UDI
3 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |