Cesena vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
CES
0 - 0
FCC
52%
27%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
55%
27%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
CES
0 - 2
NAP
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAS
77%
18%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
ATL
3 - 0
FCC
55%
28%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 0
ATL
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
ATL
0 - 0
ASS
50%
29%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |