Cesena vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
10%
21%
69%
|
64 | 22 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
CAM
83%
13%
4%
|
64 | 22 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 0
CES
10%
21%
70%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
SAV
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ISE
0 - 2
CES
8%
20%
73%
|
65 | 22 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
GIU
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
ASD
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAM
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |