Cesena vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CES
0 - 3
ABN
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASC
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 0
PIS
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 2
ASC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
ASC
0 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |