Cesena vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ASC
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 2
TRE
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 3
ASC
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |