Cesena vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
SAL
5 - 2
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CES
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
CES
4 - 0
FIA
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
VER
1 - 0
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
ASC
1 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 0
FIA
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
PRG
3 - 1
ASC
43%
29%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 1
ATL
36%
29%
34%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
ASL
5 - 1
ASC
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |