Cesena vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
26.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
CES
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
AVE
2 - 0
CES
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
CES
0 - 0
TOR
32%
32%
37%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
FIO
33%
31%
36%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
BOL
0 - 0
CES
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
ASC
1 - 0
JUV
23%
29%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
GEN
0 - 0
ASC
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACM
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
AVE
1 - 0
ASC
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
ASC
1 - 1
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |