Cesena vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 1
CES
49%
29%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
CES
0 - 1
NAP
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ROM
2 - 2
CES
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
CES
2 - 3
INT
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
CES
1 - 1
TOR
37%
30%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
ASC
0 - 1
ACM
17%
27%
56%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
TOR
3 - 1
ASC
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
47%
30%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
ASC
0 - 0
ROM
38%
32%
30%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |