Cesena vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CES
47%
32%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
61%
26%
14%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
CES
7 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 1
ASC
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ASC
0 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASC
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
PRG
0 - 0
ASC
46%
23%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |