Cesena vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CES
1 - 0
CTT
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CES
1 - 4
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 1
CES
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 3
VER
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 2
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 2
VAR
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
17%
27%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |