Cesena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
15%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
AVE
1 - 2
CES
40%
31%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
ASC
2 - 0
BAR
66%
23%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
BAR
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |