Cesena vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ABN
2 - 1
CES
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
CES
2 - 1
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 3
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CES
0 - 2
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 1
CES
42%
30%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 2
ACL
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 0
ASL
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
3 - 2
ALV
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |