Cesena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CES
2 - 2
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
CES
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CES
3 - 2
RIM
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 0
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
REG
1 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
30%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
REG
0 - 1
PIS
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 2
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
REG
3 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 2
REG
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |