Cesena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ASS
0 - 0
CES
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CES
3 - 3
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 2
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 2
REG
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
TRI
34%
30%
36%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
REG
2 - 2
ACL
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 1
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
REG
0 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |