Cesena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
ABN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
CES
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
ARZ
37%
28%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 0
REG
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
LIV
5 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
REG
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 3
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |