Cesena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 1
CES
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
CES
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 0
REG
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
REG
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |