Cesena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
CES
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
SPA
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 0
REG
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
PRG
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |